The case for fusion energy World Economic Forum
Nuclear fusion has been described as harnessing the same reaction that powers the sun and stars on Earth. OpenStar says its design – which turns the ‘tokamak’ design used by many other fusion projects “inside out” – could be faster to scale and commercialize than other. Global goals, agreed at COP28, of tripling renewable capacity and doubling energy efficiency by 2030 are crucial for limiting global temperature rises to below 1.5C.
Fusion is the process that powers the sun and the stars. The UAE’s experience in energy efficiency initiatives offers an example to other emerging markets and the wider world. Energy-related emissions are poised for a prolonged period of decline for the first time since the Industrial Revolution. These critical pillars of economic growth account for around a third of the country’s total carbon emissions. As global concern about climate change intensifies, China is undertaking significant measures to move its industrial sectors, including chemicals, steel and cement, towards sustainable development. Norway’s government has reached a $1.6 billion deal with seven private investors to take over much of the country’s gas export network.
- Its final experiment, conducted in December, marked a significant milestone in fusion research.
- As global concern about climate change intensifies, China is undertaking significant measures to move its industrial sectors, including chemicals, steel and cement, towards sustainable development.
- A new fusion roadmap published by the US Department of Energy in October outlines how the technology could enter that country’s energy mix by the early 2030s.
- Pioneering inventors, including TAE Technologies in Southern California, are racing to bring this natural process that fuels the sun down to Earth, with terrestrial fusion power plants.
The difficulties in designing current-carrying coils to produce the magnetic fields required for confining plasmas to create fusion energy have been critical since the beginning of research into magnetically-confined plasmas in the 1950s. The jump from fossil fuels to fusion energy will inevitably be more profound than the jump from burning wood to burning fossil fuels. From there, fusion will naturally expand to markets where consumers need constant power and lack affordable clean alternatives — or where leaders have made ambitious climate commitments.
In August 2023, scientists at the US Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California repeated a breakthrough they first made in December 2022, achieving a «net energy gain» in fusion ignition. It produced 69 megajoules of energy over five seconds – or enough energy to heat up to five hot baths, according to the BBC, triple what it generated back in 1997. The most promising combination for power on Earth today is the fusion of a deuterium atom with a tritium one. Nuclear fusion, the process that powers the Sun and stars, merges two atomic nuclei into a larger one. Our current nuclear power stations use nuclear fission – essentially splitting an atom’s nucleus.
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The already booming electric car market is set to grow even more with the new $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit that was included in the sweeping climate measures in the US Inflation Reduction Act. There’s also an entire hidden, energy-reliant infrastructure that exists between farms and your fridge — a vast expanse of refrigerated warehouses, trucks and other transportation collectively known as the coldscape. Here too, fusion can supply the solution, potentially allowing for a vast reduction in the land-use footprint of agriculture and shortening the supply chain for fruits and vegetables by growing them in indoor farms much closer to urban centres, if not within city limits. Factories could, for example, be located closer to the raw materials they rely on — or to the retail markets that goods are destined for — cutting down on transportation costs and carbon emissions. We could plant vast forests where there is today only scrub, using desalinated water to power these living factories for capturing carbon. With energy superabundance, desal would not only be able to keep California’s desert cities hydrated, those plants would be able to supply irrigation for vast carbon sequestration projects across the arid world.
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These are just a few of the ways affordable commercial fusion energy could reshape life on Earth as we know it, which is why it’s worth pursuing. But all that cold air takes a lot of electricity to generate, making the coldscape a significant contributor to the food sector’s carbon emissions. One new way we could grow food that would be more environmentally sustainable would be hydroponic vertical farms — if the need for electricity to power the grow lights and other necessary equipment weren’t so high.
While nuclear fusion power offers the prospect of an almost inexhaustible energy source for future generations, it has also presented many so-far-insurmountable scientific and engineering challenges. In May 2023, Microsoft announced a deal with private US nuclear fusion company Helion to buy electricity made using fusion technology in 2028. A concerted effort towards fusion energy is the best way to solve the pressing need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and ensure the supply of safe, clean energy long into the future. But fusion power can make the prospect of electric heating via heat pumps a zero-emission future. Combined with heat pumps, the cheap and abundant power of nuclear fusion would revolutionize in-home energy usage wherever it is deployed.
How can these technologies advance the energy transition?
Australia, Germany and Japan are also pursuing fusion, according to Reuters. Kerry’s announcement followed the news of Britain and the US signing a cooperation agreement on fusion in November 2023. By using reinforcement learning, scientists were able to predict plasma tearing in the tokamak reactor DIII-D at the National Fusion Facility in San Diego, which would disrupt the reaction. Artificial intelligence could help solve a problem faced by the biggest magnetic fusion facility in the US, according to research published in February 2024 in the journal Nature. A gallon of seawater (3.8 litres) could produce as much energy as 300 gallons (1,136 litres) of petrol. The process, which requires temperatures of approximately 72 million degrees Fahrenheit (39 million degrees Celsius), produces 17.6 million electron volts of energy.
Within electric vehicles, there’s an energy ecosystem that needs improvement to make electric vehicles a more viable choice for everyone too. Under the fusion-powered grow lights, hydroponically grown strawberries or lettuce or other crops can be grown to maturity without the use of pesticides and other harsh chemicals. Reshoring manufacturing from Asia and overseas to the US already cuts down on emissions both from shipping and production (for example, Chinese factories often rely on coal-fired power plants). More recently, factories still need some proximity to high-wattage transmission lines that can supply large quantities of electricity.
South Korean nuclear fusion reactor sets new record
Drought and floods are causing problems for hydropower production across Latin America. Iran is implementing power blackouts as it struggles with a shortage of natural gas ahead of the winter. Developers have submitted plans for what would be the world’s biggest renewable energy project in Australia.
- It offers the prospect of an “almost inexhaustible source of energy”, according to the World Nuclear Association.
- That’s a huge step forward for the decades-long global mission of fusion scientists, providing humanity with a cheap, limitless and carbon-free source of electricity.
- Fusion fuel – different isotopes of hydrogen – must be heated to extreme temperatures of around 50 million degrees Celsius, kept stable under intense pressure, and dense enough and confined for long enough to allow the nuclei to fuse.
- Different approaches to fusion energy are being pursued – from cold fusion, which still lacks evidence and may never work, to inertial fusion, which could work, to magnetic fusion, which really does work.
- According to the US Department of Energy, fusion reactions are hard to sustain due to the extreme heat and pressure needed to fuse atoms.
From one power plant to civilization’s primary energy source
Can we get to fusion temperatures in a compact device? So instead of building ever larger tokamak devices, with huge costs and long timescales, we can see a way forward by increasing the magnetic field in more compact devices. The second tackled one of the toughest of the engineering challenges of a compact spherical tokamak – the shielding of the centre. Start-ups are also rising to the challenge – each with new, smaller solutions to the fusion problem. Lockheed Martin aims to build a compact fusion reactor in 10 years using a cylindrical design with magnets at each end.
Small modular reactors
Nuclear fusion, however, was not a major part of the conversation — but as the drought and heat waves in Europe, the flooding in Pakistan and Nigeria and every other climate catastrophe has recently shown, we need large-scale changes. Nuclear fusion reactors around the world are being built to find the best way to control and capture the energy of such reactions. Digital power system transformation ‘essential’ – and more top energy stories How AI can accelerate the energy transition, rather than compete with it Almost half of the region’s electricity comes from water sources. Nuclear fission meanwhile – which splits a ‘heavy’ element to create energy, rather doing so by fusing two ‘light’ elements as with fusion – is having a moment.
Both reactions release large amounts of energy, but with nuclear fusion, there is a high energy yield and low nuclear waste production. Meanwhile, work is underway on «the UK’s NASA moment» – a nuclear fusion energy plant in the north of England. Additionally, the Mission Possible Partnership (MPP) is working to assemble public and private partners to further the industry transition to set heavy industry and mobility sectors on the pathway towards net-zero emissions.
Is the world ready for the transformational power of fusion?
Through its Centres, the World Economic Forum integrates public-private efforts to achieve greater impact. While advancements in AI, quantum computing, biotech, robotics and automation and other fields present numerous opportunities, new technologies are also hiking energy demand. A competitive race and more private investment would be good for the progress of fusion. We have built and demonstrated a tokamak with all its magnets made from HTS and we are now designing the device to get to fusion temperatures. Can we get sufficiently beyond breakeven to produce electricity for the first time? One showed for the first time that it is feasible to build a low power (~100MWe) tokamak with a high power gain.
Even in a drought, when freshwater supplies are scarce, it’s not cost-effective to run most desal plants because of energy costs. One problem was that the process, which usually involves distilling seawater multiple times until all the salt is removed, uses an incredible amount of energy. Access to fresh water is drying up around the world, focusing attention on desalination (desal) technology, which can make plentiful drinking water from the sea. Fusion energy is arguably the most exciting human discovery since fire.
In recent years, some have been questioning the possibility of a smaller way to fusion. The magnetic fusion approach uses strong magnetic fields to pressurize and trap the hot plasma fuel. The challenge is that fusion only happens in stars, where the huge gravitational force creates pressures and temperatures so intense fusion markets review that usually repulsive particles will collide and fuse. Read this piece to explore the industry’s potential.
Nuclear Security
But what’s next for this vital technology in the age of power-hungry AI systems? US electric utilities are predicting a surge of new demand from data centres, with some companies forecasting electricity sales growth several times higher than just a few months ago, Reuters reports. While the research on tokamaks surged globally, a handful of projects kept exploring the stellarator design. After confirming these initial results, the PPPL decided in 1969 to move from the stellarator to a tokamak design – an important decision followed by other scientists working on fusion projects worldwide. The same resurgence can be seen with the origins of fusion research in the stellarator, replaced with the tokamak due to seemingly insurmountable difficulties at the time.